Predicting the Unpredictable: Why Polymarket's 17% Sloviansk Odds Are a Flawed Bet on War
Predicting the Unpredictable: Why Polymarket's 17% Sloviansk Odds Are a Flawe...
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Predicting the Unpredictable: Why Polymarket's 17% Sloviansk Odds Are a Flawe...
Fear
Market Sentiment
Independent validator client goes live on mainnet
Block reward reduced to 3.125 BTC
92 million ARB released
Improves data availability sampling efficiency
Raises validator limit and account abstraction
Block reward halving event
Team and early investor shares released
Circulating supply increases by about 2%
Bitcoin Season
| # | Coin | Price |
|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Bitcoin
BTC
|
$64,898.5 |
| 1 |
Ethereum
ETH
|
$1,873.36 |
| 1 |
Solana
SOL
|
$75.77 |
| 1 |
BNB Chain
BNB
|
$567.6 |
| 1 |
XRP Ledger
XRP
|
$1.11 |
| 1 |
Dogecoin
DOGE
|
$0.0691 |
| 1 |
Cardano
ADA
|
$0.1680 |
| 1 |
Avalanche
AVAX
|
$6.27 |
| 1 |
Polkadot
DOT
|
$0.8152 |
| 1 |
Chainlink
LINK
|
$8.46 |